NFL Predictions Against The Spread: NFL Week 6

Tough sledding in week 5 as the Redskins prevented us from a break even week .  They were utterly uncompetitive in the Drew Brees show on Monday Night.  Brees not only broke the record for all time passing yards but he broke the Redskins spirit over his knee.   Let’s get back on the horse with our Week 6 NFL predictions against the spread.  We’ll start with the most premier matchup.

Patriots -3.5 over Chiefs.  Sunday 8:20 p.m., NBC

The Patriots will play like the Chiefs usually do, as they’ll be the ones operating a methodical, ball-control offense with strong running from Sony Michel while Tom Brady picks apart a bad secondary. Their goal will be finishing long drives with touchdowns (read:Gronk/Edelman) and limiting the chances for Patrick Mahomes to answer. New England will avenge their loss in Week 1 of 2017 and get closer to being the team to beat in the AFC again.  But it won’t come easy.  The Pats have had a cake walk the last two weeks with Miami and the Colts while this will clearly be their toughest game of the year so far.  As hard as it is to take another team in Foxboro, we’re backing the Chiefs this week +3.5

Steelers +2.5 over Cincinnati.  Sunday 1 p.m., CBS

If we’re being honest with ourselves, we all know that the Steelers are the best team in the AFC North.  And a Steelers loss this week would put the Bengals in position to run away with the division.   That won’t happen.  Both teams have given up chunk pass plays in the middle of the field this season.  So this game will go back and forth until Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown finish the job in a high scoring affair, like 37-34.

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Rams – 7 at Denver.  Sunday 4:05 p.m., Fox

The Rams might not be at full strength at wide receiver; Robert Woods is the only starter who is not dealing with a concussion.  But they have horsepower on the bench and Goff will likely throw TDs to people even the most astute fantasy owners never heard of.  Denver struggles with power rushing attacks, and LA should come out early and often pounding with Todd Gurley. Goff won’t  be intimidated by Von Miller and an overrated pass defense, and former Ram Case Keenum will build his case to be benched for Chad Kelly by the time this demoralizing contest ends.  Rams win big.  Again.  

Houston -10 over Buffalo.

Josh Allen is about to run into a JJ Watt-Jadaveaon Clowney buzz saw in Houston.  The Texans are finally going to get a convincing win, not a squeaker in overtime.  Buffalo’s offense is one dimensional without any real wide receivers which should really help Houston’s defense shine.   Texans win easy this week, finally.

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Atlanta – 3 over Tampa Bay

Another great rivalry and really a must win game for both of these teams.  Fitzpatrick’s 15 minutes are up and Winston is back in the lineup.  Neither team can stop anyone and both give up a boatload of points.  Did you hear that over players?  The Bucs are giving up a league worst QB rating and that’s going to be a disaster on the turf for them as the Iceman will be lighting them up all day with Jones, Sanu and the one everyone forgot to draft, Ridley.  Take Atalanta to the bank.  

Minnesota – 10 over Arizona

Upset alert.  The whole country thinks the Vikings are back because they beat Philly.   They also think Arizona is a one and done win after finally getting one last week in SF, who is arguably the worst team in the league.   But whenever the whole country backs a team in Survivor pools, they come down to the wire and scare the hell out of everyone, just like these Vikes did with Buffalo in week 2 and actually lost the game.   That’s what we think will happen this week in Minneapolis.   Arizona is committed to the run and who wouldn’t be with David Johnson on the team.  Vikings win, but it will be a lot closer than people expect.  Take Arizona and the 10.  

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