NBA picks 12/4: Golden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ers

Golden State Warriors

@

Philadelphia 76ers

NBA Schedule

• Warriors @ 76ers on Thursday, Dec 04, 2025 at 04:00 PM PST

The Golden State Warriors are set to face the Philadelphia 76ers on December 4, 2025, at 4:00 PM PST. The 76ers are favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 223.5.

Team Analysis

Golden State

• Season Overview and Recent Form: The Warriors have a balanced record of 11-11, with a 4-8 mark on the road. Their offense has struggled without Stephen Curry, averaging 114.5 points per game (22nd in the league) and shooting 45.1% from the field (26th). Their three-point shooting remains strong at 36.2% (14th), and they lead the league in free-throw percentage at 82.4% (5th). Defensively, they allow 114.1 points per game (11th) and hold opponents to 34.8% from three-point range (8th). However, they rank 27th in opponent free-throw percentage at 80.5%. Injuries have impacted their depth, with Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga listed as questionable.

Philadelphia

• Season Overview and Recent Form: The 76ers hold an 11-9 record, including a 6-6 home record. They average 118.3 points per game (14th) and allow 118.0 points per game (18th). Tyrese Maxey has emerged as a leader, averaging 32.5 points per game (3rd in the NBA), along with 7.6 assists and 1.5 steals. Joel Embiid has been limited to seven games this season, averaging 19.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 1.4 blocks per game. His status for this game is questionable. Defensively, they rank 7th in opponent three-point percentage at 34.5% but allow 46.5% shooting overall (13th).

Key Matchup Factors

• Head-to-Head History: In their most recent encounter on March 2, 2025, the 76ers secured a 126-119 victory over the Warriors. Quentin Grimes led Philadelphia with a career-high 44 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 29 points and 13 assists for Golden State.

• Important Player Matchups: With Stephen Curry sidelined, the Warriors will rely on De’Anthony Melton, who is set to return after nearly a year-long recovery from a knee injury. His presence could bolster their backcourt depth. For the 76ers, Tyrese Maxey‘s scoring prowess will be crucial, especially if Joel Embiid is unavailable.

• Key Injuries and News: The Warriors are without Stephen Curry due to a quadriceps injury. Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga are listed as questionable. For the 76ers, Joel Embiid‘s status is uncertain due to a foot injury.

• Home/Away Performance: The 76ers have a 6-6 home record, while the Warriors have a 4-8 road record. Philadelphia’s home-court advantage could be significant, especially with the Warriors’ struggles away from home.

Betting Analysis

• Spread Analysis: The 76ers are favored by 3.5 points. Given the Warriors’ road struggles and the absence of Stephen Curry, this line appears reasonable. Some analysts suggest a slight edge for Philadelphia, with a spread of -2.0.

• Total (Over/Under) Analysis: The total is set at 223.5. With the Warriors averaging 114.5 points per game without Stephen Curry and the 76ers allowing 118.0 points per game, the under may be a prudent choice. Analysts have recommended betting on the under for this matchup.

• Best Value Opportunities: Betting on the 76ers’ moneyline at -140 offers a reasonable return, considering their home advantage and the Warriors’ current form.

• Prediction: The 76ers are likely to secure a victory, especially if Joel Embiid plays. Their offensive firepower, led by Tyrese Maxey, combined with the Warriors’ road difficulties and injury concerns, suggests a close game that favors Philadelphia.

• Final Pick: Philadelphia -3.5. While the Warriors have the potential to keep it close, the 76ers’ home-court advantage and offensive capabilities make them the favored team in this matchup.

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