Early Looks Against The Spread for NFL: Week 11

Our Early NFL looks against the spread for week 11 are ready to go.  This week features some great matchups and a lot of division clashes.   Below are the early lines from Wannamakeabet.com as well as insights for every game. 

Cowboys (4-5) at Falcons (4-5)  Current WANNA line: Falcons, -3  O/U 45

Since Jason Garrett took over as the Cowboys coach, Garrett has gone 0-3 both straight-up and ATS against Atlanta.  This includes a 27-7 loss last year as a 3.5-point underdog. Dallas is also just 1-4 straight-up in road games (2-3 ATS) this year. Of course, that doesn’t necessarily mean you should bet on the Falcons and that’s because they’re just 2-5 ATS in their past seven games. The Falcons are also 3-6 ATS on the year, which is tied for the third worst mark in the NFL.   Coming home off an embarrassing non-division road loss to the Browns may provide extra incentive for the Falcons this week.

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Panthers (6-3) at Lions (3-6)  Current WANNA line: Panthers, -4 O/U 51 

The Panthers are really struggling on the road this year.  They’ve gone 1-5 both straight-up and ATS in their past six games away from Charlotte. Of course, the Lions have been in a slump themselves lately. Not only have they lost three straight, but they haven’t covered in any of those games. The Panthers have dominated the series, going 6-1 since 2000, including a 27-24 win last season when they covered as a two-point dog in Detroit.

Titans (5-4) at Colts (4-5) Current WANNA line: Colts, -2 .  O/U 48.5

Andrew Luck has a spectacular record against the Titans. Since Luck’s rookie year in 2012, he’s a perfect 10-0 straight-up against the Titans and 7-1-2 ATS. That being said, the Titans have a two-game winning streak in this series and that’s because they won and covered in both games last season when Luck was out. The Titans are also 6-3 ATS in 2018, which is tied for the third best mark in the NFL (The Colts are 4-4-1). Both of these teams have covered in their past three games.   Will Luck continue his historical dominance this week?

Buccaneers (3-6) at Giants (1-7) Current WANNA line: Giants -1.5 O/U  52

This line opened at Pick em and quickly moved in the Giants favor, perhaps due to the win Monday night in SF.   Both of these teams have been error prone all season.  On the Bucs’ end, they’re 1-6 both straight-up and ATS in their past seven games. They’re also just 2-13 straight-up in their past 15 road games (5-9-1 ATS). The Bucs are also 3-6 ATS on the season, which is tied for the third-worst mark in the NFL. On the Giants’ end, things look about the same. Not including Monday’s game against the 49ers, the Giants are 4-16 in their past 20 games straight-up (8-12 ATS). They’re also just 2-10 in their past 12 home games (3-9 ATS).

Texans (6-3) at Redskins (6-3) Current WANNA line: Texans, -3 O/U 42

The Texans are hot.  Like six game winning streak hot.  That’s currently tied for the longest in the AFC, but they haven’t covered the spread in every game during the streak, going just 4-2. However, they are 3-0 ATS in road games since Week 4. On the Redskins’ end, they’re 6-2 both straight-up and ATS in their past eight home games. The Redskins are also 6-3 ATS on the season, which is tied for the third-best mark in the NFL.

Steelers (6-2-1) at Jaguars (3-6) Current WANNA line: Steelers, -6 O/U 47.5 

This line opened at Steelers -3.5 and has quickly shot up to 6.   That’s quite a move.  The Steelers are going to be out for revenge from last year’s divisional round loss, which might be easy to get based on how the Jaguars have been playing lately. In their past five games, the Jags are 0-5 both straight-up and ATS, and they’ll be playing a Steelers team that is the total opposite, going 5-0 both straight-up and ATS in their past five games. Consider this. If there’s one team you don’t want to bet against in a road game, it’s the Steelers. In their past 15 games away from Pittsburgh, the Steelers are 13-1-1 straight-up and 10-5 ATS, however that includes 3-0-1 straight-up and 3-1 this year. The Steelers are 6-3 ATS on the season, which is tied for the third-best mark in the League.  The Jags are 3-5-1 ATS.

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Bengals (5-4) at Ravens (4-5)  Current WANNA line: NO LINE

No line.  Why?  There is no official starting quarterback for the Ravens. Joe Flacco is dealing with a hip injury.  The Ravens could decide to give Lamar Jackson his first start ever. Of course, the Ravens starter might not matter and that’s because the Bengals have dominated this series lately, going 8-2 straight-up (7-3 ATS) in their past 10 games against Baltimore. That total includes a 34-23 home win this season when the Bengals covered as a one-point favorite. Both of these teams are 4-5 ATS on the season and they’re both 1-4 ATS in their past five games.   We’re thinking the opening line on this game, when it happens, will be Baltimore -2.5.

Raiders (1-8) at Cardinals (2-7)  Current WANNA line: Cardinals, -4 O/U 40.5

Betting money on the Raiders this year has lead to one thing.  Losing. The Raiders are 2-7 ATS, the worst-mark in the NFL. They’re also 0-5 ATS in their past five games. Things aren’t much better on the road: In their past 10 games away from Oakland, the Raiders are 1-9 straight-up and 2-7-1 ATS. The Raiders have also lost five straight games to NFC teams. On the Cardinals’ end, don’t be deceived by their 2-7 record.  Sports bettors know they’ve been a smart bet over the past few weeks going 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven.

Broncos (3-6) at Chargers (7-2)  Current Opening line: Chargers, -7 O/U 46.5

Denver.  The Chargers achilles heel. Since 2011, the Chargers have gone just 3-11 straight-up against Denver and 6-7-1 ATS.  That said, the Broncos have been a disaster in road games over the past few years. Denver is 3-12 straight-up in their past 15 road games and 4-11 ATS.  The chargers are 15-0 straight-up in the past 15 games where they’ve been favored by seven or more points but only 7-8 ATS. As for the Broncos, they’re 1-9 straight-up the past 10 times they’ve been an underdog of seven or more points (4-6 ATS). Two of those losses came this year to the Rams (-7 points) and Chiefs (-8.5 points), but the Broncos did cover in both games.

Eagles (4-5) at Saints (8-1)  Current WANNA line: Saints, -9 O/U 54.5

This line opened at 7 and has quickly moved to 9.  Next to the Chiefs.  The Saints have been the safest bet in the NFL over the past two months. Not only are they 7-2 ATS on the season, which is the second-best mark in the NFL, but they’ve covered in seven straight games during their eight-game winning streak. The Eagles have basically been the polar opposite, going just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games.  But the Saints struggle to cover big numbers.  They’re 0-4 ATS the past four times they’ve been favored by seven or more (3-1 straight-up). This game will actually mark the first time this season the Eagles have been a dog. In 2017, they went 3-2 both straight-up and ATS as an underdog (6-2 if you include the playoffs)First time here?

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Vikings (5-3-1) at Bears (6-3)  Current Opening line: Bears, -3 O/U 45

Sunday night will give us a great division game.  The Bears tend to cover at Soldier Field. In their past 15 at home, the Bears are 11-4 ATS, and they’re also 4-1 ATS at home this season, which is tied for the best mark in the NFL. Of course, as good as the Bears are at home, the Vikings are almost better on the road. In their past 10 games away from Minnesota, the Vikings are 7-2-1 straight-up and 8-2 ATS. The Vikings are also 7-3 ATS in their past 10 primetime games. Minnesota has also won six of the past seven games straight-up in this series. One ugly thing about the Bears is that they’re just 1-9 straight-up in their past 10 divisional games, although that one win did come on Sunday over Detroit.

Chiefs (9-1) vs. Rams (9-1), Current WANNA line: Rams, -2.5 O/U 62 

Did you see that total?  62!  What is this, a college football game?   Well, let’s start with the fact that the 9-1 Rams aren’t covering the spread this year quite like the 9-1 Chiefs are. The Rams are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven games while the Chiefs have covered in 11 of their past 13 games dating back to last season. The Chiefs’ ATS mark of 8-2 this year is the best in the NFL. The Chiefs have also won six straight games against the Rams dating back to 1997 and they’ve covered in every single one of those games. On the other hand, the Rams have absolutely whipped AFC teams under Sean McVay. Since hiring McVay in 2017, the Rams have gone 7-0 straight-up against AFC teams and 5-2 ATS.

Chase Knox is a senior Wannamakeabet.com staff writer

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