Wild Card Playoff Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
by Jack Chambers for Wannamakeabet.com
Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: Prime Video
Spread: Ravens -8.5
Total: 45.5
Betting Preview and Analysis
This classic AFC North showdown features two fierce rivals with contrasting styles. The Ravens bring a potent rushing attack and a stout defense, while the Steelers rely on their opportunistic defense and a steadily improving offense under Russell Wilson. Let’s break down this matchup and explore favorable prop bets for bettors looking to maximize value.
Prop Bets to Watch
1. Najee Harris Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Harris has been the focal point of Pittsburgh’s offense down the stretch. Against a Ravens defense focused on pressuring Russell Wilson, Harris should get plenty of carries to control the clock and limit mistakes. Look for him to eclipse this total in a game where the Steelers lean heavily on the run.
2. Lamar Jackson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125)
Lamar Jackson thrives in big games, and his ability to break off a long run or sneak in near the goal line makes him a great value bet to find the end zone. Whether it’s a designed run or a scramble, Jackson is always a threat in the red zone.
3. George Pickens Over 3.5 Receptions (-110)
Pickens has emerged as a reliable target for Russell Wilson, especially in tight games where contested catches matter. Against a Baltimore secondary that may focus on shutting down the deep ball, expect Pickens to rack up short-to-intermediate catches to move the chains.
4. Mark Andrews Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Andrews remains Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, especially in crucial moments. The Steelers’ defense has struggled against athletic tight ends, and Andrews should find success across the middle and in play-action situations.
5. T.J. Watt to Record a Sack (-135)
Watt has been a game-changer for the Steelers, and he thrives in high-pressure situations. With Baltimore likely to run play-action and deep dropbacks, Watt will have opportunities to disrupt Lamar Jackson. Betting on at least one sack is a strong play.
Betting Angles
Spread: Steelers +8.5
- Divisional playoff games are often closer than expected due to familiarity. While Baltimore has the edge in talent, the Steelers’ defense can keep this game competitive.
- Lean: Steelers +8.5
Total: Under 45.5
- Both teams are built around strong defenses, and their offenses prioritize the run, which will chew up the clock. With points at a premium, the under is a solid option.
- Lean: Under 45.5
Prediction
The Ravens are favored for good reason, but the Steelers have a knack for keeping games close, particularly in the playoffs. Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat ability will likely be the difference-maker, but Pittsburgh’s defense and Najee Harris should keep this within a touchdown.
Final Score Prediction: Ravens 23, Steelers 17
Best Bets:
- Steelers +8.5
- Najee Harris Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
- Lamar Jackson Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Under 45.5