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The New York Knicks are set to face the Miami Heat on Monday, November 17, 2025, at 7:30 PM EST at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points, with a total over/under of 244.5 points.
Team Analysis
New York Knicks
The Knicks enter this matchup with an 8-4 record, placing them second in the Eastern Conference. Their recent form includes a 140-132 victory over the Miami Heat on November 14, where Karl-Anthony Towns led with 39 points and 11 rebounds, marking his eighth consecutive double-double. However, the team faces challenges with key injuries. OG Anunoby is sidelined for at least two weeks due to a left hamstring strain sustained during the same game against the Heat. Additionally, Jalen Brunson is expected to miss the game due to a right ankle sprain.
Miami Heat
The Heat hold a 7-6 record, with a strong home performance of 5-1. In their recent game against the Knicks, Norman Powell led with 38 points, while Kel’el Ware and Davion Mitchell each recorded double-doubles. Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo have returned to practice after injuries, with Adebayo listed as questionable for this game.
Key Matchup Factors
Head-to-Head History
The Knicks and Heat have faced each other twice this season, with each team securing a win. The Knicks’ recent victory suggests a competitive rivalry.
Important Player Matchups
With Anunoby and Brunson out, the Knicks will rely heavily on Karl-Anthony Towns, who has been a consistent performer. For the Heat, the potential return of Adebayo could bolster their frontcourt presence.
Injuries and News
Anunoby’s absence is significant for the Knicks, as he has been a key contributor. The Heat’s injury situation is improving with the return of Herro and Adebayo, though Adebayo’s status remains uncertain.
Home/Away Performance
The Heat’s strong home record contrasts with the Knicks’ struggles on the road, where they are 0-3.
Betting Analysis
Spread Analysis
The Heat are favored by 2.5 points. Given the Knicks’ road difficulties and the Heat’s home advantage, this line appears reasonable.
Total (Over/Under) Analysis
Both teams have high-scoring offenses, with the Knicks averaging 122.1 points per game and the Heat averaging 125.3. The over/under of 244.5 points aligns with these offensive trends.
Best Value Opportunities
Considering the Knicks’ reliance on Towns and the Heat’s potential for a high-scoring game, betting on the over might offer value.
Prediction
The Miami Heat are likely to secure a narrow victory, leveraging their home-court advantage and the Knicks’ injury challenges. A final score prediction is Heat 123, Knicks 119.
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