NFL Best Bets 11/17 – Cowboys @ Raiders

Dallas
@

Las Vegas
Monday, November 17, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET

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Weather for Las Vegas, NV:

Current Conditions: Mostly cloudy, 65°F (18°C)

Introduction

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) are set to face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) on Monday, November 17, 2025, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET. The Cowboys enter the game as 3.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 49.5 points.

Team Analysis

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have had a tumultuous season, marked by inconsistency and off-field challenges. In their most recent game, they suffered a 27-17 loss to the Arizona Cardinals, failing to cover the 3-point spread. This defeat dropped their record to 3-5-1, placing them second in the NFC East. Offensively, Dallas ranks fourth in total offense and passing yards, but their defense has been a liability, ranking 31st in total defense and points allowed.

In a significant roster move, the Cowboys acquired defensive tackle Quinnen Williams from the New York Jets prior to the trade deadline. Williams, a three-time Pro Bowler, is expected to make an immediate impact on the defensive line. He has expressed confidence in adapting quickly to the Cowboys’ defensive system, aiming to bolster their pass rush and run defense.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have also struggled this season, with a 2-7 record. Their most recent game was a 10-7 loss to the Denver Broncos, during which they lost offensive lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson to an ankle injury. Powers-Johnson, a 2024 second-round pick, has been placed on injured reserve, and linebacker Jamin Davis has been signed to the active roster to bolster the defense. Offensively, the Raiders rank near the bottom in passing yards and points scored, while their defense allows an average of 24.4 points per game.

Key Matchup Factors

Head-to-Head History

The Cowboys and Raiders have faced each other infrequently, with their most recent meeting being a preseason game in August 2024. In that matchup, the Cowboys secured a 17-10 victory. However, preseason games often do not provide a clear indication of regular-season performance, making this upcoming game a more accurate gauge of both teams’ capabilities.

Important Player Matchups

  • Dak Prescott vs. Geno Smith: Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has been the team’s most consistent offensive player, ranking sixth in the league with 2,319 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. His decision-making and ability to avoid turnovers will be crucial against a Raiders defense that has struggled to generate pressure. On the other hand, Raiders quarterback Geno Smith has faced challenges this season, averaging 204.9 passing yards per game with 11 touchdowns through nine contests. His mobility adds a dimension to the Raiders’ offense, but he must improve his protection of the football to keep the game competitive.
  • Quinnen Williams vs. Raiders Offensive Line: Williams’ debut with the Cowboys’ defensive line could be a game-changer. His presence is expected to enhance the pass rush and disrupt the Raiders’ offensive rhythm. The effectiveness of the Cowboys’ defensive line, including Williams, will be pivotal in containing the Raiders’ offense.

Injuries and News

  • Cowboys: Safety Juanyeh Thomas has been placed on the reserve/non-football illness list due to migraines, and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown has been activated from the reserve/PUP list after recovering from a knee injury. Additionally, cornerback Shavon Revel Jr. has been activated from injured reserve, providing depth to the secondary.
  • Raiders: The team has no players listed on the injury report for this week, indicating a full-strength roster for the matchup.

Home/Away Performance

The game will be held at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, providing the Raiders with a home-field advantage. However, the Raiders have struggled at home this season, with a 1-3 record in home games. The Cowboys, despite their road challenges, have shown resilience in away games, making this matchup more balanced in terms of venue.

Betting Analysis

Spread Analysis

The Cowboys are favored by 3.5 points, reflecting their superior overall performance this season. However, their inconsistency and recent off-field distractions, including the tragic loss of defensive end Marshawn Kneeland, may impact their focus and execution. The Raiders, while struggling, have the potential to capitalize on any lapses by the Cowboys, especially with their home-field advantage.

Total (Over/Under) Analysis

The over/under is set at 49.5 points. Both teams have shown volatility in their offensive and defensive performances. The Cowboys’ high-powered offense could exploit the Raiders’ defensive weaknesses, while the Raiders’ offense may find opportunities against a Cowboys defense that has allowed significant yardage and points. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with temperatures in the mid-60s and no significant precipitation, which should not adversely affect scoring.

Best Value Opportunities

  • Cowboys -3.5: Despite their challenges, the Cowboys have a more potent offense and a bolstered defense with the addition of Quinnen Williams. Betting on the Cowboys to cover the spread appears to be a reasonable option.
  • Over 49.5: Given the offensive capabilities of both teams and the Raiders’ defensive vulnerabilities, the over presents a promising opportunity.

Prediction

The Dallas Cowboys are likely to secure a victory against the Las Vegas Raiders, covering the 3.5-point spread. The addition of Quinnen Williams should provide a significant boost to their defensive performance, while their offense, led by Dak Prescott, is expected to exploit the Raiders’ defensive weaknesses. The over 49.5 points is also a favorable bet, considering the potential for a high-scoring game.

For more detailed analysis and betting insights, visit Wannamakeabet’s points-based betting system at https://wannamakeabet.com.

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