The Dayton Flyers (14-4, 5-0 A-10) are set to face the La Salle Explorers (6-13, 2-4 A-10) on January 21, 2026, at 6:30 PM ET in Philadelphia’s John Glaser Arena. Dayton enters the game as a 10.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 136.5.
Team Analysis
Dayton
The Flyers have demonstrated strong form this season, boasting a 14-4 record and leading the Atlantic 10 with a 5-0 conference mark. Their recent performance includes a decisive 78-51 victory over Loyola Chicago, where De’Shayne Montgomery led with 21 points. Defensively, Dayton ranks fifth in the A-10, allowing 68.1 points per game and holding opponents to 42.7% shooting.
La Salle
The Explorers have faced challenges this season, with a 6-13 overall record and a 2-4 conference standing. However, they snapped a two-game losing streak by edging out St. Bonaventure 78-74, with Jerome Brewer scoring 27 points. Offensively, La Salle averages 67.1 points per game, while defensively, they concede 73.2 points per game.
Key Matchup Factors
Head-to-Head History
In their last five encounters, Dayton has secured three victories, including a 66-54 win on January 23, 2024. Historically, Dayton leads the series with nine wins to La Salle’s six in the last 15 matchups.
Important Player Matchups
- Javon Bennett (Dayton): Averaging 16.8 points per game, Bennett has been a consistent offensive force for the Flyers.
- Jaeden Marshall (La Salle): Leading the Explorers with 13.0 points per game, Marshall’s scoring ability will be crucial for La Salle’s offense.
Home/Away Performance
Dayton has been strong on the road, maintaining a 5-0 record in conference play. La Salle’s home performance has been mixed, with a 4-3 record in home games.
Betting Analysis
Spread Analysis
Dayton is favored by 10.5 points. Dimers’ predictive model gives Dayton an 88% chance of winning, suggesting they are likely to cover the spread.
Total (Over/Under) Analysis
The over/under is set at 136.5. Given La Salle’s defensive struggles and Dayton’s offensive prowess, the total points could exceed this line.
Best Value Opportunities
Considering Dayton’s strong defensive capabilities and La Salle’s offensive inconsistencies, betting on Dayton to cover the spread appears to be a favorable option.
Key Injury Statuses
As of now, there are no significant injury updates affecting key starters for either team. Both teams are expected to field their regular lineups.
Final Pick
Based on the analysis, Dayton is well-positioned to secure a comfortable victory over La Salle. Their superior defense and offensive efficiency make them the stronger team in this matchup.
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