Seattle Seahawks +3.5 at Carolina Panthers.
There are a lot of reasons to like Carolina this week, starting with the fact that they’ve been nearly unbeatable at home. There is also added value because they lost to the lowly Lions last week on the road. But the Panthers are 5-0 at Bank of America Stadium this season and have actually won 10 games in a row there dating back to last year. The big problem for the Panthers though is that Cam Newton has been getting beat up, and now he’s facing one of the hardest hitting defenses in the league.
During their two-game losing streak, he’s been sacked eight times and he’s been hit multiple other times. The Seahawks are averaging 2.8 sacks per game this year, which means it could be another long day for Cam. Until they Panthers show otherwise, they don’t lose at home. However, this is just enough points to let Seattle cover the spread. Seattle has not lost a game this season by more than 7 points and we see another close one this week. Panthers win by 2. Protect yourself with a teaser to take you through the two key numbers of three and seven.
Dolphins at Colts (-7.5)
The Dolphins have been absolutely brutal on the road the last two seasons. Miami is an unbelievable 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games. Miami also isn’t good rebounding from a loss. The Dolphins are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 games after failing to cover. Miami lost its last game to the Packers as a 9-point underdog.
On the flip side, the Colts have been great in the favorite role, going 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games when laying points. Indy also responds well after a big win, going 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games following a straight up win of 14 points or more. The Colts blew out Tennessee last week, 38-10 as a 3-point favorite. The trends say Miami’s struggles on the road will continue Sunday. Take the Colts. Their offensive line is giving Luck all the time in the world and he will shred to fins on Sunday and the Colts win big again.
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Raiders at Ravens -10.5 O/U 42.5
A “total” prediction for you. The Raiders travel to Baltimore in a game that could be low-scoring. Oakland is struggling on offense and dealing with a rash of injuries on that side of the ball. Now they must face a top ranked defense in the Ravens.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Baltimore’s last eight game with an average combined score of 39 points. The UNDER is 13-4 in Oakland’s last 17 games with an average combined score of 42.7 points. Ravens games also go UNDER when they face bad teams. The UNDER is 7-0 in Baltimore’s last seven games when its favored by 10.5 points or more. The Ravens are a 10.5-point favorite on Sunday. Meanwhile, the UNDER is 10-3 in the Raiders’ last 13 games when they are a dog.
Oakland is struggling to score points and the Ravens are running a conservative offense with rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson appearing to run much more than he throws passes, especially the deep ball. The trends say to expect a low-scoring game on Sunday. Stay under 42.5
Browns at Bengals (-3)
The Bengals are reeling, losers of two straight games. But the trends say that Cincinnati losing streak won’t continue, especially against hated in state rival Cleveland.
The Bengals are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games after consecutive losses. Cincinnati has also been profitable when playing a divisional opponent, going 5-1 ATS in its last six games versus the AFC North.
The Browns have been underdogs a lot recently but haven’t been profitable to bettors. Cleveland is just 16-34-1 ATS in its last 51 games as an underdog and 4-10-1 the last 15 times they’ve been a road dog. Granted this stat is slightly skewed due to their horrific play the previous two season. The Bengals have cashed against bad teams, going 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games versus teams with a losing record. Take Cincy -3 at home.
Green Bay Packers + 3 at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday Night Football Featured Game.
The Vikings signed Cousins to win the big games that Case Keenum couldn’t win last year and instead, he’s doing the opposite. The Vikings have played three games this season against teams that currently have a winning record and they’re 0-3 in those games. If they wanted to be 0-3 against winning teams. As hard as it seems possible, the Vikings offense has somehow gotten worse with Cousins running the show. Think Cousins could shine in prime time? Think again, Cousins is 4-12 in his career during prime time games.
With all that said. Picking this game for me has come down to quarterback selection. Take the 3 and watch the Pack get a much needed win to stay barely alive in the playoff hunt.
Jack Kincaid is a wannamakeabet.com senior analyst