House Money: Florida Has It for the Georgia Game

The SEC East is wide open.  And Florida thinks they can take it for themselves.  On top of that the Gators are playing with house money.  And sure enough it also happens to be a rivalry game with the Georgia Bulldogs in this annual “world’s largest cocktail party” in the neutral site of Jacksonville, Florida. Seems like an easy win right?  Not so fast.

Florida has its eyes on making a big step in the SEC East race, and the SEC Championship is still on the table; however, t needs a Kentucky loss.  But for now, being 6-1 headed into the Cocktail Party against Georgia? The season has already been a positive.

Georgia came into the year with realistic national title expectations. Florida can come in and be relatively free wheeling.

But more than that, the Gator defense is good enough to lock down the Georgia offense. If Florida’s secondary isn’t the best in the country, it’s right there with LSU’s and Georgia’s.  And the pass rush continues to be terrific.

On the other side, the offense hasn’t been exactly great, but the line has been solid, the ground game good enough, and it’s working within a formula that would offset the Georgia talent.

Florida isn’t going to lose the turnover battle, it’s going to keep the Georgia receivers from making anything big happen deep, and it’s going to keep the non-existent Bulldog pass rush from bothering Feleipe Franks.

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For Georgia, It was good enough to get by on talent and a few big plays in wins over South Carolina and Missouri.  But if it seemed like head coach Kirby Smart was always looking like he was about to blow his top, it’s because his team hasn’t been sharp at all. And then, it all came home to bear in the 36-16 loss to LSU.

Had Georgia been able to slip by the Tigers somehow and stay unbeaten, this would be the trap. This would be the moment when a tight Gator squad would bog down and power its way through the sloppy Bulldogs.

With two weeks off after what happened in Death Valley, that’s less likely to happen now.

Think about it.  How did Georgia respond after getting whacked by Auburn 40-17 last season? It was dominant over the final three games, including the SEC Championship.

This will be all about early momentum. Florida is stellar, but even though it’s had a few big games with a lot of points, it’s not built to keep up in shootouts or make a big comeback if they get down early.

Jake Fromm has had to hear for the last two weeks about how bad he was against LSU. Expect plenty of quick-hitting passes just to get him into a rhythm right away.  He’s not going to challenge the Gator corners deep – but he’ll move the chains. He likely won’t have the same bad game twice.

On the other side of the ball, it’s all about holding up against the Gator ground game. Florida hasn’t passed the 160-yard mark on the ground over the last five games, and while Franks has been solid, Georgia will take its chances on this coming down to Fromm/Justin Fields vs. Franks.

Our Prediction:

The intensity will be nuts. But through all the emotion, and all of the craziness, Fromm will be cool as a clam, and get through the early struggles against the jacked up Gator defense.  That’s when the game will slow down for him.

The Georgia secondary will come up with two big picks, the offense won’t miss on any of its opportunities, and it’ll come down to Franks having to throw Florida back into the game late.

Again, had Georgia gotten past LSU, this would be different. But with two weeks off after that, this is where the Bulldogs look like themselves again.

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