Tommy Lynch is a senior baseball analyst for Wannamakeabet.com
Padres vs Phillies Game 5
We hit this one on the money last night. An offensive explosion from both teams with the Phillies winning 10-6 and now they have a chance to close this series out.
Today we get back to the better pitchers with Darvish and Wheeler back at it. Darvish in Game 1 was very good and had most of his pitches working. He ended up letting up 2 homeruns and that was the deciding factor. Darvish has been slightly worse on the road this year with an ERA of 3.50. Wheeler was lights out in Game 1 going 7 innings only allowing 1 hit striking out 9. Now he will be starting at home where he has a 1.85 ERA compared to his 3.45 on the road.
It is hard to ignore what Wheeler has done here at home this season. Virtually lights out and now he is pitching some of his best ball of the year. As much as I liked the Padres this series, I think it is coming to an end here. It’s an age-old debate of whether the hitters or the pitchers have the advantage facing a team for the 2nd time. Regardless I don’t see the Padres getting much off of Wheeler today. I think this game looks more like Game 1 being low scoring, but I will take the Phillies -140 today closing it out in front of the home crowd.
Phillies -140 ML
Astros vs Yankees Game 4
3 in a row we have hit on the Astros with 2 being plus prices! You’ll never guess where I am going today.
With a chance for the Astros to sweep the Yankees they will send out Lance McCullers who missed most of the season due to injury. However, he did come on strong when he returned towards the back half of the season. He has made one start this postseason going 6 innings allowing 0 runs and striking out 7. The Yankees will send out Nestor Cortes. He has made 2 appearances this postseason going 10 innings allowing 3 runs.
The Astros have been good to us and now we are getting them at a plus price again. While I do think this is likely the game that goes over the total, I will be sticking with the Astros. McCullers has been good and can do what Javier did yesterday giving the Astros 5 solid innings. We won’t go into detail about the Yankees for the 4th game in a row but to put it lightly, their bats are struggling. Nestor is a crafty pitcher, but this Astros lineup is very discipline and should be putting a lot of balls in play. The Astros lineup is just so good top to bottom. As mentioned yesterday Altuve, Yordan and Tucker have still yet to get going. I think both teams score some runs in this game, but I think the Astros find a way to come out on top for the sweep and at a plus price I will take the better team.
Astros ML +105
Best of luck and lets sweep the board again!
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