Tonight’s Thursday night preview and prediction between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers is locked and loaded. The Packers come into this game at 4-4-1, while the Seahawks are 4-5. Yes, it’s Aaron Rodgers versus Russell Wilson but the truth is both teams love to run the ball and will make every effort to do so and control the clock. Make sure you get into our weekly Cash League that starts tonight, invites are waiting for you when you login or register. And there’s still plenty of room in the November All Sports free league when you join the site.
Both teams are better than their records. The Packers had the lead late against the Rams and they had every chance to beat the Pats. Meanwhile the Seahawks seem to lose every game by less than a TD and are still very competitive every time they take the field. And that fuels a feeling of “must win” for both sides tonight.
The Packers are still led by Aaron Rodgers and the Seahawks by Russell Wilson, but both teams have been running the ball nicely. Rodgers has 17 TD passes and just one pick. Green Bay has turned their focus to the run with Aaron Jones who had 145 yards and two touchdowns last week in Green Bay’s 31-12 win over Miami. Jones leads the NFL average at 6.8 yards per carry. On the flip side, the Seahawks have been vulnerable to the run, as they allowed 7.3 yards per carry to the Chargers and 6.5 yards per carry to the Rams.
Seattle is the top rushing team in the league, averaging 152.2 yards per game. They should have success against a Green Bay defense that allows 4.5 yards per carry.
Seattle run versus Packer D. Key matchup. Seattle’s rushing attack vs. the Green Bay defense. The Seahawks have three solid runners in Chris Carson, Rashaad Penny and Mike Davis. They are also the only team in the NFL to have three different players rush for at least 100 yards in a game this season. The Packers are just 22nd in the NFL, allowing 120.9 yards per game on the ground. If Seattle can control this game on the ground they will have a good chance to win.
Historical Data. The Seahawks are 7-1 on Thursday night under Carroll. The Packers lead this all-time series 17-9, and speaking of 17-9 that was the final score last year in a Packer win. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Packers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in November. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Looking at the total, the Over is 11-2 in the Packers last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. The Over is 35-16 in the Packers last 51 road games. The Under is 6-2 in the Seahawks last 8 games overall. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.
Prediction. Over. I like the Seahawks (-2.5) in this game to win and cover the spread at Wannamakeabet.com, but I think the better play is on the total. Neither of these defenses are that good and both teams should be able to move the ball effectively throughout this game, despite focusing on the run as their means to the end. It’s a relatively high number but I think we go over (49) for the game.
Jack Kincaid is a senior wannamakeabet.com analyst