NFL Week 16 Contrarian Plays. Where’s the Money?

by Ryan Somers – Wannamakeabet Staff Writer

Week 16 the last real week of the NFL regular season since next week we will see a lot of backups and teams playing for nothing. A lot of interesting things to look at this week including ticket and money differential and some interesting reverse line movement.

TEAMS   TICKET %                                                    MONEY %

Detroit                                                                         64                                                                                    43

Cincinnati                                                                  36                                                                                    57

 

LA Rams                                                                       66                                                                                    59

Tennessee                                                                 34                                                                                    41

 

Jacksonville                                                              64                                                                                    52

San Francisco                                                          36                                                                                    48

Reverse Line Movement

Tennessee

Houston 

Predictions 

TENNESSEE +6.5 or 7 vs LA RAMS

Not going to be a prisoner of the moment and ride the momentum wave with the LA Rams after their beatdown of the Seattle. Tennessee matches up pretty well with the Rams. Tennessee is 11^th in rush plays per game, and the Rams defense allows 4.7 yards per rush, which is the 2^nd worst in the NFL. On the flip side the Rams love to run the football, BUT Tennessee defense ranks in the top 5 in yards allowed per a rush. Add the fact the Rams are traveling all the way across the country to help Tennessee’s cause. Rams might end up winning this game but definitely not by a touchdown or more, so try to get Tennessee at 7 if you can. LOCK OF THE WEEK CALL

JACKSONVILLE VS SAN FRANCISCO +4

The Jaguars defense is really, really good, but……I’m buying the hype of Jimmy G. Not a fan of teams traveling across the country, plus the Jaguars might have the division wrapped up by the time this game kicks off. Also like the fact that this game opened at 5.5 and has dropped to 4 and most of the bets are for Jacksonville, so a lot of big bets have come in on San Francisco. I will ride with the Sharp bettors and fade the public here and take the 49ers here. (BTW, future bet the Jaguars to win the Super Bowl, it’s happening!

LA Chargers vs NY Jets +6.5

Here is a 100 percent Gut call, just hear me out. Chargers just played an emotional game to possibly win their division and got absolutely blown out. To make matters worst they have to travel all the way across the country and play a 1pm game. The Jets love to run the ball and the Chargers have one of the worst run defenses in the league. I smell upset!